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Population Collapse Not Likely to Occur

On January 18, 2022, Elon Musk took to one of the world’s largest social media platforms (Twitter) and shared: “We should be much more worried about population collapse.” His tweet earned 195K Likes, 5,314 Quote Tweets, and 20.5K Retweets. He followed his first comment with two additional tweets, noting first, that: “UN projections are utter nonsense. Just multiply last year’s birth by life expectancy. Given downward trend in birth rate, that is the best case unless reversed.” And, second: “If there aren’t enough people for Earth, then there definitely won’t be enough for Mars.”

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Opinion Piece Offers Valuable Insight on Population Growth

In March, Joseph Chamie wrote an opinion piece on U.S. population growth for a publication. Along with being an opinion contributor for The Hill, Chamie is also a consulting demographer, a former director of the United Nations Population Division, and author of numerous publications on population issues, including his recent book, “Births, Deaths, Migrations, and Other Important Population Matters.” In his published article, Chamie swan dives into U.S. population growth by quoting the 1972 report by the U.S. Commission on Population Growth and the American Future: “In the long run, no substantial benefits will result from the further growth of America’s population. The gradual stabilization of the U.S. population through voluntary means would contribute significantly to America’s ability to solve its problems.”

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New NPG Forum Paper Chronicles the Ebb and Flow of Life Expectancy

Homicide, opioid overdose, and suicide contribute to the widening life expectancy gap between the U.S. and other wealthy countries. Negative Population Growth, Inc’s newly published Forum paper, titled: Life Expectancy Drives U.S. and World Population Growth, by Edwin S. Rubenstein, explains the nuances of population growth in tandem with life expectancy. With such a large scope at hand, Rubenstein starts with comparisons between the 1918 flu and the COVID-19 pandemic before discussing the many contributing factors that tie into the world’s Total Fertility Rate, the history of life expectancy, and possible outcomes in the future.

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