Declining Snow in Northeast Region Will Have Lasting Effects
- NPG
- November 16, 2020
- NPG Commentary
- 1 Comment
November 24, 2020
Declining Snow in Northeast Region Will Have Lasting Effects
Longer Transition Period Between Winter and Spring will Disrupt Dependent Ecosystems
Climate change has negatively affected snowfall in the U.S. Northeast region. Through the years, the Northeast has experienced, on average, 73 percent snow coverage, leaving 27 percent of the region uncovered. Looking at the data and the projected potential outcomes, scientists agree that in the coming years, there will be less snow coverage in the region which will cause new problems for existing ecosystems, particularly lotic ecosystems, like rivers. An article published by Science Daily explains the details, saying: “Researchers at the University of New Hampshire have found that snow cover is on the decline in this area due to climate change and the shift from winter to spring known as the vernal window, is getting longer. By the end of the century, the scientists say the vernal window, sometimes referred to as mud season in the Northeast, could be two to four weeks longer which means significantly less melting snow that could be detrimental to key spring conditions in rivers and surrounding ecosystems.”
Study lead author and research scientist, Danielle Grogan, describes the decline in snow coverage, stating: “We found that climate change could alter the vernal window so much that by the year 2100, 59% of northeastern North America – which goes from Maine to Virginia – would not accumulate any snow. Historically, an average of 27% of the Northeast goes without snow but by the end of the century states like Connecticut and Pennsylvania could be snow-free.”
For years scientists have called attention to alterations of the vernal window, described by Science Daily as: “the transition time from winter to spring when there isn’t any snowpack or forest canopy.” Speaking to the importance of the vernal window, Grogan notes: “Snowmelt is a major event for rivers and forests in the northeast. It moves nutrients from the land to the rivers, boosts water levels, and triggers essential spring happenings like the migration of fish. Losing the snow and the melt would change ecosystems on many levels and remove key signals that would disrupt natural patterns like fish mating.”
Long time researcher and NPG writer, Edwin S. Rubenstein, discusses climate change in his recent Forum paper titled, Climate Change, Migration, and National Security, saying: “Food. Water. Climate comfort. From time immemorial humans have migrated from areas where these items are scarce to areas where they are abundant. Research shows that 21st century man inhabits about the same ‘climate niche’ as our stone-age counterparts…over the next 50 years the geographical area where temperatures are expected to be in this range (50-60 degrees) is projected to shift by more than it has in the past 6,000 years…with global population expected to rise to about 10 billion by 2070, this implies that as many as 3.5 billion people could migrate to cooler climates. Migration of this magnitude, even if contained within national borders, presents a threat to U.S. National Security.”
With such dire conditions, including the lengthening vernal window in the Northeast, predicted in a relatively short period, NPG believes the best necessary course of action is to work together to slow, halt, and eventually reverse population growth. We can no longer turn a blind eye to the damage being done to the planet.
To read more on population and climate change, please see two recent works published by NPG:
Climate Change, Migration and National Security, by Edwin S. Rubenstein
Human Fertility and Climate Change, by Edwin S. Rubenstein
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Kathleene Parker
I live in the Jemez Mountains of New Mexico on the “remote” plateau where the Manhattan Project happened during World War Two. Last night, we received heavy rain–thunder, lightning, more thunder and lightning, with them knocking the power off for an extended time. That–a classic summer monsoonal type rain–in LATE November, just as has been predicted with climate change, more rain in winter which does nothing for critical snow accumulations. The Sangre de Cristos should be deep with snow right now, but in recent years, there accumulations haven’t measured up.
Meanwhile, at nearby Overlook Park, I can gaze down into the Rio Grande–or perhaps more accurately the Rio Tiny–as it is more about islands and pathetic trickles of water than any semblance of “the Rio” that we must have to support cities or agriculture down stream. And, tellingly, the Rio at this part also includes Colorado River water, diverted under the San Juan (Rocky) Mountains north of Chama, New Mexico, but even with those infusions, the Rio, well, isn’t so Grande, with all of this speaking to greater problems, such as a Colorado River in crisis from what might be drought, or more frightening, perhaps not drought at all, just a return to the Southwest’s drier climate norms. (If climate change weighs in as predicted, flows in the Colorado–so pathetic that Lake Mead has for years hovered just slightly above the trigger point for a Federal emergency on the Colorado–might become HALF of the already insufficient flows of the late 20th century.
But, what is our “leaders” response to all of this?
Last night, all Albuquerque T.V. stations were gleefully and promotionally (NEVER media’s purview to do under ANY standards of journalism) reporting that Netflix will be expanding its already huge movie-production facility in Albuquerque. As to water–tellingly–there was no mention of it! Nor is there ever mention of it as New Mexico’s Congressional delegation, now to include newly elected Sen. Ben Raye Lujan (Nancy Pelosi in cowboy boots when it comes to all things immigration.) will likely continue the agenda he pushed when he was in Congress: He never saw a piece of growth-promoting immigration legislation he didn’t love, indicative that we seem to think we can continue to grow our nation irrespective of resource limitations or the CONSEQUENCES of climate change. This is what my late friend Dr. Al Bartlett called, Disney’s First Law: Or, wishing will make it so! Everything is changing but our “leaders” still want state and national policies to promote endless growth.