OIL, EGYPT AND ISRAEL: THE VIEW IN 1995

• Lindsey Grant
• April 1, 1991
• Forum Papers
• Forum Paper
• 0 Comments

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OIL, EGYPT AND ISRAEL: THE VIEW IN 1995
An NPG Forum Paper
by Lindsey Grant
April 1991

This essay may start out as a sort of black fable, but the purpose is serious. Having devoted the FORUM for more than a year to the United States and the idea of “optimum population”, we seek here to change focus and to call attention to the intricate interplay among U.S. and other countries’ population growth, immigration policies, food balance, environmental and resource issues, social issues, foreign policy, and national security. Again, we suggest ways in which U.S. decision-making can be altered to take account of those interconnected forces rather than being blindly buffeted by them.

Lindsey Grunt is a retired Foreign Service Officer and former China specialist. During his Government career, he was an NSC staffer, member of the Department of State’s Planning and Coordination Staff, Deputy Assistant Secretary of Slate for Environment and Population Affairs, and Department of State coordinator for the Global 2000 Report.

Scenario

I recently had reason to construct the following grim and hypothetical scenario for a naval strategic studies group. The scenario, ostensibly, is written in February 1995. Under the group’s ground rules, Saddam Hussein has been eliminated but little progress has been made on the Israel-Palestine issue, and peace in the Gulf region is still “fragile.” Here goes.

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